Game Result Predictions
Tuesday, March 19
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Tallahassee, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
UCF (36-22, Road 11-8) |
9 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✘ | 4 | +2.5 | 35% | ✘ | |
|
Florida State (42-23, Home 28-9) |
7 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 16 (4) |
7 | -2.5 | 65% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Lake Charles, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Houston (32-24, Road 12-8) |
0 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 3 | +0.5 | 52% | ✔ | |
|
McNeese State (35-26, Home 17-11) |
1 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 1 (-8) |
4 | -0.5 | 48% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Jacksonville, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
South Florida (26-27, Road 6-15) |
2 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 3 | +0.5 | 51% | ✔ | |
|
North Florida (32-25, Home 23-11) |
7 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 9 (0) |
4 | -0.5 | 49% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Cape Girardeau, MO | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Memphis (27-28, Road 8-13) |
6 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 13 | ✘ | 7 | -3.5 | 71% | ✘ | |
|
Southeast Missouri (21-32, Home 15-15) |
7 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 13 (0) |
4 | +3.5 | 29% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Dayton, OH | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Cincinnati (31-31, Road 10-16) |
4 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | 13 | ✔ | 6 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
|
Wright State (40-17, Home 20-3) |
10 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 14 (1) |
5 | +0.5 | 45% | |||